A strange sense of deja vu pervades crypto markets as Black Friday delivers a rare buying opportunity right on cue.
Bitcoin (BTC) may be down 20% from all-time highs, but this is a golden opportunity to “buy the dip,” analysts argue.
Black Friday is living up to its name in crypto this year as both Bitcoin and many altcoins trade at their lowest in six weeks.
Misgivings over $53,000 floor
After an overnight sell-off sparked by a declining dollar and macro markets rattled by a new Coronavirus variant, BTC/USD is trading near $54,000.
As mainstream media highlight the fall, others are far from concerned, however — current prices arguably offer a golden entry opportunity.
— Material Scientist (@Mtrl_Scientist) November 26, 2021
Others poked fun at a knee-jerk article from Bloomberg in which the publication initially declared that Bitcoin had “entered a bear market.”
On short-term targets, popular trader and podcast host Scott Melker warned over going with the herd expecting even lower levels to buy.
“We all seemingly want to see 53K, which usually means we get front run at 53.5K or price nukes straight through and we HFSP,” he tweeted.
“The crowd rarely gets what it wants.”
Bitcoin funding rates chart. Source: Coinglass
Remember last Black Friday?
Melker meanwhile additionally pointed to the unusual correlation between the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin thanks notionally to the virus jolt.
As Cointelegraph often notes, Bitcoin tends to exhibit inverse correlation with USD, the latter having snapped a long winning streak Friday.
Far from fuelling Bitcoin’s strength, however, the largest cryptocurrency has fallen in step with both macro markets and the U.S. dollar currency index (DXY).
Dollar down, gold up, Bitcoin down, stocks down.
Good luck solving that correlation today.
— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) November 26, 2021
Standing in the way of further losses on Bitcoin is a heavy block of buyer support at $53,000 — roughly the area which corresponds to Bitcoin’s $1 trillion market cap.
Meanwhile, historical data serves as a timely reminder that Black Friday bargains are something of a common theme for Bitcoin.
In late November 2020, BTC/USD dipped to around $16,400 — only to then go on to tackle and beat out $20,000 for the first time in three years.
BTC/USD 1-day candle from November 2020. Source: TradingView